The ecological measures of the recovery plan must be extended to achieve the CO2030 reduction targets in XNUMX

According to forecasts from this institute, greenhouse gas emissions could be reduced to 315 million tonnes (CO² equivalent) in 2030, against 441 million tonnes in 2019.

France has set a target of 310 million tonnes in 2030 in its national low carbon strategy.

"It is rather good news. We are very close to the objective, it is within our reach, but we must protect the anti-emissions measures of the recovery plan", explains to AFP Michel Didier, president of Rexecode .

In its forecast, Rexecode thus assumes that the State will mobilize 5 billion euros per year by 2030 to extend the measures of the recovery plan.

But this forecast is also based on a slower growth rate of the French economy after the health crisis.

Mechanically, this lower growth implies lower CO² emissions. On its own, it would explain two-thirds of the reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030.

The recovery plan - and the 12 billion euros in spending which will have a positive impact on CO² emissions, according to Rexecode - would be responsible for the remaining third, or around 12 million tonnes less in 2030.

The most effective measures would be support for the decarbonisation of industry, aid for the purchase of cleaner vehicles, investment in green hydrogen and the energy renovation of private buildings.

The Rexecode report, which draws forecasts for Europe and the world, also notes that whatever efforts France may make, they will be "negligible" on the global trajectory of emissions, which should increase further by 2030.

Rexecode therefore pleads for "a supply policy" in favor of the climate, which would allow France to finance the development of innovative industrial technologies, which could also be used abroad.

"It is all the more important that we are at the beginning of a real global competition" for these technologies, in which China has taken the lead, for example in solar or batteries, defends Michel Didier.